Aces & Races Blog
Handicapping insight,
published daily.
Pace analysis, morning line strategy, value betting, and race-day breakdowns — free to read, written by the same team behind the picks.
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Kentucky Derby 2026 Picks: Expert Predictions for the 152nd Running
The 152nd Kentucky Derby is 20 days away. Here are our top picks, value targets, and exotic wager recommendations for the $5 million Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs.
April 12, 2026
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2026 Kentucky Derby Contenders: Complete Field Analysis for the 152nd Running
From Renegade to Danon Bourbon, we break down every legitimate contender in this year's Kentucky Derby field — their prep races, trainer stats, pace profiles, and Derby suitability.
April 10, 2026
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How to Bet the Kentucky Derby: A Complete 2026 Wagering Guide
First time betting the Derby? Or looking to sharpen your approach? This complete guide covers every wager type, from Win/Place/Show to the Superfecta, with strategies tailored to the 152nd running.
April 8, 2026
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How to Handicap Churchill Downs: A Complete Guide to the Spring Meet
Churchill Downs is North America's most iconic racetrack — and one of the most analytically demanding. Here's exactly how we approach every card at the home of the Kentucky Derby.
April 7, 2026
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Pace Makes the Race: The One Concept That Separates Sharp Bettors
Every professional handicapper will tell you the same thing: figure out the pace scenario and half your work is done. Here's the framework we use daily.
March 28, 2026
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Speed Figures vs. Class: Which Matters More in Horse Racing?
Every sharp handicapper eventually faces this question: trust the numbers or trust the level? The answer depends on the race — and here's the framework we use to decide.
March 22, 2026
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The 5 Best Tracks for Value Betting in 2026
Not all racetracks are created equal. Some circuits offer dramatically better ROI for smart bettors. Here's where we find the most inefficiencies this season.
March 15, 2026
Read →How to Build Pick 3 and Pick 4 Tickets That Actually Win
Pick 3s and Pick 4s offer the best ROI in horse racing — if you structure your tickets correctly. Here's our complete framework for building exotics that beat the takeout long-term.
March 8, 2026
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