Laurel Park Picks Today: Nov. 13, 2026

Laurel Park picks today — the card at a glance

Friday, November 13, 2026 at Laurel Park in Laurel, Maryland: #5 Assume Nothing (31.1%) leads a 10-race card that starts earliest in the country today, first post 12:00 p.m. Eastern. Conditions are cloudy and cool at 47°F; Equibase (updated 9:49 a.m. Eastern) has the dirt fast and the turf good, with the temporary rail at 52 feet for the turf races. It is a claimers-and-allowances card with no stakes, but the model found two strong opinions — a near odds-on read in the finale and a pace-meltdown setup early — which is more than most Friday cards offer. Every rating below was read this morning from the individual Edge race pages and scratch-checked against the Equibase changes page. The Edge V2 model rates every horse's win chance as a percentage — our Edge V2 model's win probability — and the higher the number, the more likely the model makes that horse to win.

Laurel Park Race 9 pick: #5 Assume Nothing (31.1%)

Race 9 (3:51 p.m. ET) is a $40,000 allowance optional claimer over a mile and a sixteenth for a $53,000 purse — the richest race on the card — and Edge marks it as Laurel's Best Bet race. #5 Assume Nothing rates 31.1%, the highest figure at Laurel today, on a speed figure of 99.0 near the field top: the single best figure cited in any of today's featured races at this track, and one of the best on the whole board. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price is fair rather than generous, because the danger is real — #2 Worcester rates 27.7%, making this a genuine two-horse race at the top. Behind them the field falls away to #3 Just a Fair Shake at 12.8% and #1 Energize at 12.3%. There are no changes in Race 9, so the matchup stands as drawn: two horses with figures, one clear edge to Assume Nothing.

Laurel Park Race 4 pick: #6 Chowser (23.8%)

Race 4 (1:26 p.m. ET) is a $25,000 starter optional claimer over a mile for a $30,000 purse, and #6 Chowser tops the read at 23.8% on a speed figure of 85.0 near the field top. The angle is the setup: the pace map projects a meltdown, with three of the seven runners wanting the early lead, and Chowser's why note is the closer's profile that profits when the front end collapses. At a 4/1 morning line, that is the best price among today's featured Laurel picks. #3 No More Calls at 20.1% is the clear second chance, and #5 Marcan Love at 15.0% is next. The scratches matter in this race: #7 Master Schemer, who rated 17.3%, is out (PrivVet — illness), along with #1 Beale Street Boy and #4 Edelweiss, so the live field is smaller than the program suggests — and Chowser's edge over what is left is wider than the morning numbers make it look.

Laurel Park Race 5 pick: #4 Fan Club (21.9%)

Race 5 (1:53 p.m. ET) is a $12,500 claiming race over seven furlongs for a $22,000 purse, and it produced the rarest thing on today's board: a dead heat at the top of the model. #4 Fan Club and #2 Let's Have a Party both rate exactly 21.9%. We feature Fan Club because the why note is stronger — a speed figure of 86.0 near the field top with two standout efforts in the last five starts, against the morning line's 9/5 favourite tag — but treat this race honestly as a two-horse coin flip at the top, not a single. Behind the pair, #6 Sam Stormy at 12.8% and #1 Veneto at 11.4% are well back, so the race really is the top two against the rest. There are no changes in Race 5.

Today's free race on Edge

The day's featured free race on Edge is Race 2 at Penn National tonight (6:14 p.m. ET), Edge's Pick of the Day: #5 Stanford Dropout rates 40.1% — the highest number on the entire 98-race board — in a $16,000 starter optional claimer over six furlongs. The model's why is a speed figure of 73.0 near the field top plus two standout efforts in the horse's last five starts, and the full field checks out against the official Equibase entries: #4 Extrasexymcsteemee (14.5%), #3 Penn Franklin (14.1%) and #6 Miami Kaz (11.1%) are the next chances. The whole race — every horse rated, with the why for the pick — is free to read right now: today's free race on Edge.

How the full Laurel Park card works on Edge

Three races are featured here; the other seven — including Race 8, where the V1 favourite #1 Cybertime was scratched this morning (PrivVet — illness), yet another reminder to check the changes — are rated horse-by-horse on Edge. Start with the free picks page and today's free race, then open the full Laurel card on Edge before the early 12:00 p.m. Eastern first post. Today's flagship preview is Churchill Downs picks today.