Woodbine Picks Today: Nov. 14, 2026

Woodbine picks today — the card at a glance

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Woodbine in Toronto: #3 My Boy Prince (28.3%) heads the only graded stakes in North America today, the Grade 2 bet365 Kennedy Road Stakes, on an 11-race all-synthetic card from 1:05 p.m. Eastern. #3 My Boy Prince is the name to know, and the Kennedy Road is the race the whole day builds toward. Conditions are cloudy and cold — 43°F on the Edge board, with Equibase listing the all-weather surface fast, a north-northwest wind at 15 mph, and — rarest of all on a Saturday — no scratches and no surface changes anywhere on the card. Every field stands exactly as drawn. The percentages below are our Edge V2 model's win probability for each horse — the higher the number, the more likely the model makes that horse to win. Every rating below was read this morning from the individual Edge race pages and scratch-checked against the Equibase changes page, updated at 10:10 a.m. Eastern today.

Woodbine Race 10 pick: #3 My Boy Prince (28.3%)

The finale (5:42 p.m. ET) is the $200,000 Grade 2 bet365 Kennedy Road Stakes over six furlongs on the synthetic, and #3 My Boy Prince tops the read at 28.3%. The why is the strongest figure note on the Woodbine card: a speed figure of 103.0 near the field top, with his figures rising to a current 103, and a closer's profile in a race the pace map calls balanced rather than frantic — he does not need a meltdown, he just needs his run. At 5/2 on the morning line the price matches the model's number almost exactly, which makes this a quality play rather than a value hunt. The dangers are real: #5 Victory Achieved rates 19.8% with a current figure of 108 — actually higher than the pick's — and #4 Nobals, a name known to every Breeders' Cup sprint fan, rates 17.2% at 6/1. Behind them the field falls away to #1 G T Five Hundred at 9.6%. A Grade 2 with three genuine win chances is exactly the race a Saturday card should close with, and the model's edge goes to the horse whose figures are still rising. Our speed figures guide explains how we weigh a rising figure line against a single peak number.

Woodbine Race 7 pick: #6 Essex Serpent (25.9%)

Race 7 (4:06 p.m. ET) is an $80,000 allowance optional claimer over seven furlongs for a $131,500 purse, and Edge marks it as the card's Best Bet race. #6 Essex Serpent rates 25.9% on a speed figure of 100.0 near the field top, as the front-runner in a race the pace map projects as a meltdown — four of the six runners want the early lead. That sounds like a problem for a speed horse until you read it the other way: Essex Serpent is the speed of the speed, and if the others burn each other off chasing him, his 100 figure survives. At 5/2 he is the morning-line favourite. The closer case belongs to #4 Fighter in the Win at 22.8% (6/1) — if the meltdown is total, that is the horse picking up the pieces — with #3 He's Not Joking at 15.6% and #2 Western Whirl at 14.3% behind them. This is the best betting race on the card: a clear top two, opposite running styles, and a pace argument you can take either side of.

Woodbine Race 3 pick: #6 Edey (22.5%)

Race 3 (2:04 p.m. ET) is a $15,000 claiming race over six furlongs for a $41,300 purse, and #6 Edey tops a competitive read at 22.5%. The why is a speed figure of 74.0 near the field top paired with a closer's setup in another projected pace meltdown — three of the eight runners are early-speed types. At 2/1, Edey is the morning-line favourite, though the deeper read actually trims his first-pass number rather than building it up, which is the model being honest about a horse whose recent figures are falling from a high of 80 to a current 59. The chances bunch behind him: #4 Closing Appeal at 15.1%, #8 Scat Humor at 14.6% and #1 Astonesthrowaway at 13.9%. Nobody in this race is a lock, and the post treats it that way — a lean to the closer in a speed-heavy field, at a price that demands the trip works out.

A full track is free every day on Edge

Edge now opens one complete track free every day for anyone with a free account — every race on that card, with the same ratings, value alerts and exotic tickets paying members see, and which track is free is a surprise until you sign up. Today's free track could be Woodbine itself: check today's free track on Edge before first post, and if you want the whole Woodbine card either way, it is all rated on Edge. Edge's headline Pick of the Day today is Belmont Park Race 1, #5 Donegal Luster, at 45% on the model's first-pass read in a three-runner field.

How the full Woodbine card works on Edge

This post features three of the 11 Woodbine races. The other eight — including Race 8, where #6 Talbot's Riplyn carries a value flag, and Race 9, where #4 Charmingly Evasive is the card's bomb alert — are rated horse-by-horse on Edge, with percentages and a plain-English why for every top pick. Start with the free picks page, open today's free track, and if you want every Woodbine race plus the other 82 races on today's national board, the full cards are waiting on Edge before the 1:05 p.m. Eastern first post. Today's other track previews: Churchill Downs picks today, Belmont Park picks today, Laurel Park picks today, Del Mar picks today and Gulfstream Park picks today. And if you want proof the model travels, yesterday's Horseshoe Indianapolis featured races went three-for-three — the full record is in the results section of yesterday's post.