Del Mar Picks Today: Nov. 14, 2026

Del Mar picks today — the card at a glance

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Del Mar in Del Mar, California: #3 Sea's No Joke (34.2%) leads the $100,000 Desi Arnaz Stakes as the projected lone speed on a nine-race card from 12:30 p.m. Pacific (3:30 p.m. Eastern). #3 Sea's No Joke is the headline, and his race shape is the cleanest on the card — one front-runner, nobody to fight him. The Equibase changes page (updated 6:32 a.m. Eastern) is nearly clean: the turf rail sits at 12 feet for Races 2, 5, 7 and 9, and the only two scratches on the card are outside the featured races. The percentages below are our Edge V2 model's win probability for each horse — the higher the number, the more likely the model makes that horse to win. Every rating below was read this morning from the individual Edge race pages and scratch-checked against Equibase.

Del Mar Race 3 pick: #3 Sea's No Joke (34.2%)

Race 3 (1:32 p.m. Pacific, 4:32 p.m. Eastern) is the feature: the $100,000 Desi Arnaz Stakes over seven furlongs on dirt for two-year-olds, and Edge marks it as the card's Best Bet race. #3 Sea's No Joke rates 34.2% on a speed figure of 80.0 near the field top — and the why note carries the real argument: projected lone speed. He is the only front-runner in a five-horse field, which means he can set his own fractions and dare the closers to catch him over a distance that rewards exactly that trip. At 7/5 he is the second choice on the morning line, behind #1 Holmby at 4/5, who rates 31.8% right behind him — this is a genuine two-horse race at the top, and the model sides with the pace. Behind the pair the field falls away hard: #5 Mo Chuisle at 12.7% and #2 Vino Vino Vino at 12.2%. There are no scratches in Race 3. Lone speed in a short field is one of the oldest angles in the game — the only question is whether Holmby's class tells late.

Del Mar Race 2 pick: #6 Harcyn (24.4%)

Race 2 (1:02 p.m. Pacific, 4:02 p.m. Eastern) is a $25,000 claiming race over five furlongs on turf for a $35,000 purse, and it is a photo at the top of the model: #6 Harcyn rates 24.4% and #5 Code Duello 24.0%, separated by less than half a point. Harcyn gets the featured spot on the why: a speed figure of 94.0 near the field top — the best figure cited in any featured Del Mar race today — on a rising line to a current 94, with a closer's profile in a race the pace map projects as a meltdown (three of the seven are early-speed types). At 7/2 against Code Duello's 3/1, he is also the slightly better price of the pair. #7 Gregory's Pride at 18.0% is the third chance. There are no scratches in Race 2. Treat this as a two-horse argument and let the figure — 94, in a $25,000 claimer — break the tie.

Del Mar Race 7 pick: #3 Moonlit Sonata (23.4%)

Race 7 (3:33 p.m. Pacific, 6:33 p.m. Eastern) is a $50,000 starter optional claimer over a mile and a sixteenth on turf for a $35,000 purse, and it produced a model flip: the first pass made #1 Trump Era the top choice at 3/1, but the deeper read promotes #3 Moonlit Sonata to the top at 23.4%. Her why is a speed figure of 86.0 near the field top on a rising line to a current 87, with a closer's profile in a balanced pace picture. At 4/1 she is the value side of the flip. Trump Era settles at 21.9% as the clear second chance, with #4 Rostovsky at 15.4% and #2 Back Nine Stakes at 13.3% behind them. There are no scratches in Race 7. Flips are where the second model run earns its keep — the first look saw the favourite, the deeper look found the improving closer at a point more. Our class handicapping guide explains the class-rise angle both featured closers carry today.

A full track is free every day on Edge

Edge now opens one complete track free every day for anyone with a free account — every race on that card, with the same ratings, value alerts and exotic tickets paying members see, and which track is free is a surprise until you sign up. Today's free track could be Del Mar itself: check today's free track on Edge before first post, and if you want the whole Del Mar card either way, it is all rated on Edge. Edge's headline Pick of the Day today is Belmont Park Race 1, #5 Donegal Luster, at 45% on the model's first-pass read in a three-runner field.

How the full Del Mar card works on Edge

Three races are featured here; the other six are rated horse-by-horse on Edge. Start with the free picks page and today's free track, then open the complete Del Mar card on Edge before the 12:30 p.m. Pacific first post. Today's flagship preview is Woodbine picks today.