Race Name: TAB We’re On ($150K)

Distance: 7 Furlongs (1400m) | Class: 3yo BM70

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025 | Time: 12:20 PM AEDT

📝 Summary and Analysis of Each Horse

• #1 Acta Non Verba (6 to 1)

• Jockey: Daniel Moor

• Strengths: A consistent runner with good early speed, proven at 1400m. Finished 3rd in a tougher race last start and is well-suited for this class.

• Weaknesses: Tends to be overrun late when pressured. Needs to control the pace better.

• Recent Performance: 3rd of 5 at Moonee Valley, beaten by 0.31L.

• #2 Stormy Grove (5 to 1)

• Jockey: Billy Egan

• Strengths: Won impressively on debut, showing strong closing speed and versatility.

• Weaknesses: Yet to race beyond 1200m, so there’s a slight question about stamina.

• Recent Performance: 1st of 12 at Geelong on debut by 1.25L.

• #3 Xarpo (16 to 5)

• Jockey: Ryan Houston (a3)

• Strengths: Comes in with back-to-back wins, including a strong performance over 1400m at Flemington. The horse is in top form and improving with every start.

• Weaknesses: Worked hard early in some races, which may be a concern if the pace is quick.

• Recent Performance: 1st of 7 at Flemington by 1.75L.

• #4 Mr Markle (12 to 1)

• Jockey: Harry Coffey

• Strengths: Showed resilience by holding off late challengers to win his last race.

• Weaknesses: Has limited experience at 1400m, and his form may not be strong enough against better horses.

• Recent Performance: 1st of 10 at Moe by 0.06L.

• #5 Zorro’s Flight (17 to 2)

• Jockey: Thomas Prebble (a3)

• Strengths: Displayed good pace control, leading from the front to secure a win last start.

• Weaknesses: Limited experience in higher-class races.

• Recent Performance: 1st of 10 at Sale by 0.75L.

• #6 Rubiquity (37 to 10)

• Jockey: John Allen

• Strengths: Consistently finishes close to the leaders, with a strong late kick.

• Weaknesses: Needs a clear trip to perform well, as he has been unlucky in recent starts.

• Recent Performance: 4th of 5 at Moonee Valley, beaten by 0.65L.

• #7 Warparty (13 to 1)

• Jockey: Zac Spain

• Strengths: Improved late ground in recent starts, showing he can finish well.

• Weaknesses: Struggles when the pace quickens, and consistency is an issue.

• Recent Performance: 4th of 8 at Cranbourne, beaten by 2.62L.

• #8 Stella Bystarlight (151 to 1)

• Jockey: Rose Hammond (a3)

• Strengths: None notable, given her poor strike rate.

• Weaknesses: Finished last in six of her seven starts.

• Recent Performance: 7th of 7 at Flemington, beaten by 16L.

🏆 Top Contenders

• #3 Xarpo (16 to 5): Xarpo has shown remarkable improvement, winning two consecutive races, including one at this track and distance. His ability to finish strongly and adapt to different paces makes him a top contender.

• #2 Stormy Grove (5 to 1): Stormy Grove impressed with a strong debut win, showing excellent closing speed. Despite being untested beyond 1200m, his performance suggests he can handle the extra distance.

• #1 Acta Non Verba (6 to 1): A consistent performer, Acta Non Verba has shown he can handle the 1400m distance and has good early speed. With a better-timed ride, he can be competitive here.

🎯 Final Selections

• Primary Choice: #3 Xarpo (16 to 5) – With consecutive wins and proven ability at this distance, Xarpo looks the most reliable pick.

• Secondary Choice: #2 Stormy Grove (5 to 1) – Strong debut performance with excellent closing speed; has potential for another big run.

• Longshot Pick: #5 Zorro’s Flight (17 to 2) – Despite limited experience, Zorro’s Flight’s front-running style and last-start win make him an interesting longshot.

💡 Exotic Betting Strategies

Looking to maximize your returns? Here are a few exotic betting strategies for this race:

• Exacta: Box #3 Xarpo and #2 Stormy Grove. Both horses are in strong form and likely to finish in the top two.

• Trifecta: Box #3 Xarpo, #2 Stormy Grove, and #1 Acta Non Verba. This combination includes the top picks with solid form and potential.

• Quinella: Box #3 Xarpo, #2 Stormy Grove, and #5 Zorro’s Flight. Adding a longshot like Zorro’s Flight can increase the value if he places.

• First Four: Box #3 Xarpo, #2 Stormy Grove, #1 Acta Non Verba, and #5 Zorro’s Flight. This covers the main contenders and gives you a shot at a big payout.

Closing Thoughts

This race features some promising young horses with exciting potential. Xarpo’s form and experience make him the standout, but Stormy Grove’s upside is hard to ignore. Don’t overlook Zorro’s Flight for an upset at great odds!

Good luck, and happy punting! 🍀 Let’s hit some winners! 🏆